Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 15:00 • Parnu Rannastaadion
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.78) 0.83 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.2% 19.9% 14.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kuressaare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vaprus 0 5.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.3% 9.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.1% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVaprusKuressaare
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack47%18%
Defense76%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vaprus Kuressaare
HATHAT
Played151732171532
Wins33%53%44%29%13%22%
Draws33%12%22%12%13%13%
Loses33%35%34%59%73%66%

Form: Vaprus: LWLWDLDLLWLLWDWWLDDLDWWWWWLWWWLD • Kuressaare: LWLLLLLWLWDWLLLLLDLLWLLLLLWLDWDL

League goals

Metric Vaprus Kuressaare
HATHAT
GF total242953181230
GF avg1.61.71.71.10.80.9
GA total221941283462
GA avg1.51.11.31.62.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVaprusKuressaare
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%75%72%84%
1.547%38%22%63%
2.516%13%0%28%
3.59%3%0%13%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVaprusKuressaare
HATHAT
Clean sheets358325
Failed to score347459

Penalties

MetricVaprusKuressaare
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total76

Streaks

MetricVaprusKuressaare
Wins51
Draws21
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-52-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-35-0
Goals For8522
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricVaprusKuressaare
Form67%33%
Att73%27%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h60%40%
Goals62%38%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Vaprus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.45 @ Marathonbet
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vaprus = 2.07 (league 1.78), Kuressaare = 0.83 (league 1.44)

Kuressaare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vaprus 0 5.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.3% 9.5% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.1% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 14.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1