Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 11:30 • Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.75) 1.68 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 24.2% 51.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Trans Narva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Laagri 0 6.6% 11.1% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.6% 6.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLaagriTrans Narva
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack50%43%
Defense14%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Laagri Trans Narva
HATHAT
Played151833171633
Wins27%22%24%47%44%45%
Draws13%17%15%18%19%18%
Loses60%61%61%35%38%36%

Form: Laagri: LWWLDLLWLLWLDLLLLDLLDLWLLWWWLLLLD • Trans Narva: DLWWLWWLWLWWWWWLLLWDLDWWWLLDDLWDL

League goals

Metric Laagri Trans Narva
HATHAT
GF total202242302353
GF avg1.31.21.31.81.41.6
GA total254267222345
GA avg1.72.32.01.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLaagriTrans Narva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%94%76%73%
1.539%61%42%48%
2.515%36%24%12%
3.53%9%15%3%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLaagriTrans Narva
HATHAT
Clean sheets202549
Failed to score4610358

Penalties

MetricLaagriTrans Narva
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricLaagriTrans Narva
Wins35
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-02-5
Biggest losses0-35-01-34-0
Goals For4345
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricLaagriTrans Narva
Form17%83%
Att54%46%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Trans Narva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.25 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.95 @ Unibet
Away1.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.44 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Laagri = 1.04 (league 1.75), Trans Narva = 1.68 (league 1.42)

Trans Narva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Laagri 0 6.6% 11.1% 9.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7%
1 6.9% 11.5% 9.7% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 3.6% 6.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 51.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1