Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 12:30 • Paide linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.75) 1.24 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 27.8% 38.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Flora Tallinn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide 0 9.4% 11.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.6% 13.1% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaideFlora Tallinn
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack79%100%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paide Flora Tallinn
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins63%59%61%71%75%73%
Draws25%6%15%6%13%9%
Loses13%35%24%24%13%18%

Form: Paide: WWLWWWWLWLDLDWLWWWWLWWDWWLDWLWDWW • Flora Tallinn: DLWWWWDWWLWWWWWLWLWWWDWWWWWWLLWWW

League goals

Metric Paide Flora Tallinn
HATHAT
GF total352358433578
GF avg2.21.41.82.52.22.4
GA total131730161430
GA avg0.81.00.90.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaideFlora Tallinn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%67%94%64%
1.558%18%73%18%
2.518%6%42%9%
3.512%0%18%0%
4.59%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaideFlora Tallinn
HATHAT
Clean sheets74117512
Failed to score257112

Penalties

MetricPaideFlora Tallinn
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total66

Streaks

MetricPaideFlora Tallinn
Wins46
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-36-00-4
Biggest losses0-33-02-33-1
Goals For5364
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricPaideFlora Tallinn
Form53%47%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h80%20%
Goals70%30%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Paide or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 10Bet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away2.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paide = 1.13 (league 1.75), Flora Tallinn = 1.24 (league 1.42)

Flora Tallinn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide 0 9.4% 11.6% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.6% 13.1% 8.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.4% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 38.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1