Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 10:30 • Paide linnastaadion
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.76) 0.95 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 28.0% 27.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vaprus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide 0 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaideVaprus
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack75%25%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paide Vaprus
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins59%59%59%29%53%41%
Draws29%6%18%29%12%21%
Loses12%35%24%41%35%38%

Form: Paide: WWLWWWWLWLDLDWLWWWWLWWDWWLDWLWDWWD • Vaprus: LWLWDLDLLWLLWDWWLDDLDWWWWWLWWWLDLL

League goals

Metric Paide Vaprus
HATHAT
GF total362359252954
GF avg2.11.41.71.51.71.6
GA total141731261945
GA avg0.81.00.91.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaideVaprus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%68%76%76%
1.556%18%44%38%
2.518%6%15%15%
3.512%0%9%3%
4.59%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaideVaprus
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411358
Failed to score257448

Penalties

MetricPaideVaprus
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total67

Streaks

MetricPaideVaprus
Wins45
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-38-10-5
Biggest losses0-33-00-33-0
Goals For5385
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricPaideVaprus
Form73%27%
Att75%25%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Double chance : Paide or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.43 @ Unibet
Draw5.14 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paide = 1.31 (league 1.76), Vaprus = 0.95 (league 1.43)

Vaprus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide 0 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.5% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 27.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1