Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 10:30 • Kadrioru Staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.75) 1.69 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 24.0% 48.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Kuressaare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tallinna Kalev 0 5.6% 9.4% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
1 6.7% 11.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.0% 6.8% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTallinna KalevKuressaare
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack24%12%
Defense0%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)20 | 47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tallinna Kalev Kuressaare
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins24%0%11%28%18%23%
Draws0%11%6%11%12%11%
Loses76%89%83%61%71%66%

Form: Tallinna Kalev: LLLLWLDLLWLLLLLLLLWWLLDLLLLLLLLLLLL • Kuressaare: LWLLLLLWLWDWLLLLLDLLWLLLLLWLDWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Tallinna Kalev Kuressaare
HATHAT
GF total171330181331
GF avg1.00.70.91.00.80.9
GA total5161112293665
GA avg3.03.43.21.62.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTallinna KalevKuressaare
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.551%97%69%83%
1.523%83%20%60%
2.59%54%0%26%
3.53%37%0%11%
4.50%26%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTallinna KalevKuressaare
HATHAT
Clean sheets101336
Failed to score89175611

Penalties

MetricTallinna KalevKuressaare
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricTallinna KalevKuressaare
Wins21
Draws11
Losses85

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-00-2
Biggest losses0-96-00-35-0
Goals For4222
Goals Against9635

Model comparison

MetricTallinna KalevKuressaare
Form0%100%
Att67%33%
Def26%74%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h40%60%
Goals59%41%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Kuressaare

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Betfair
Draw4.73 @ Pinnacle
Away1.64 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tallinna Kalev = 1.20 (league 1.75), Kuressaare = 1.69 (league 1.42)

Kuressaare
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tallinna Kalev 0 5.6% 9.4% 8.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
1 6.7% 11.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.0% 6.8% 5.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 48.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1