Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Stadions Daugava
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.67) 2.17 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.8% 20.6% 46.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
FK Liepaja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grobiņa 0 2.1% 4.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.5% 7.7% 8.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.5% 7.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.7% 3.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrobiņaFK Liepaja
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack29%42%
Defense54%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grobiņa FK Liepaja
HATHAT
Played131629161329
Wins38%6%21%56%46%52%
Draws15%19%17%25%8%17%
Loses46%75%62%19%46%31%

Form: Grobiņa: DWLLLDLLLLWWDWDLLLWLLLLDLLLWL • FK Liepaja: WDWLLLWLDWDLWLDWDWWWWLLWWWLWW

League goals

Metric Grobiņa FK Liepaja
HATHAT
GF total19928292150
GF avg1.50.61.01.81.61.7
GA total223355182543
GA avg1.72.11.91.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrobiņaFK Liepaja
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%83%79%72%
1.528%59%59%41%
2.57%28%21%21%
3.50%14%14%10%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrobiņaFK Liepaja
HATHAT
Clean sheets325718
Failed to score2911336

Penalties

MetricGrobiņaFK Liepaja
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricGrobiņaFK Liepaja
Wins24
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-02-4
Biggest losses1-46-02-54-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against4654

Model comparison

MetricGrobiņaFK Liepaja
Form20%80%
Att41%59%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FK Liepaja

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.35 @ Unibet
Draw4.32 @ Pinnacle
Away1.77 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grobiņa = 1.70 (league 1.67), FK Liepaja = 2.17 (league 1.25)

FK Liepaja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grobiņa 0 2.1% 4.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.5% 7.7% 8.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.5% 7.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.7% 3.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.8% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 46.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1