Virsliga — Latvia
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:00 • Tukuma pilsētas stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.66) 1.13 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 25.5% 28.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Metta / LU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tukums 0 7.0% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTukumsMetta / LU
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack13%33%
Defense71%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tukums Metta / LU
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins29%13%21%21%20%21%
Draws29%20%24%29%13%21%
Loses43%67%55%50%67%59%

Form: Tukums: LDLDWLLLLDDWDLLLLDWLWLWLLWDLL • Metta / LU: LLWWWDLDLLLLDLLLLDLDLWLLWDLLW

League goals

Metric Tukums Metta / LU
HATHAT
GF total171330141428
GF avg1.20.91.01.00.91.0
GA total233154273259
GA avg1.62.11.91.92.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTukumsMetta / LU
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%79%59%86%
1.538%52%28%66%
2.53%31%7%31%
3.50%14%3%21%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTukumsMetta / LU
HATHAT
Clean sheets426224
Failed to score47116612

Penalties

MetricTukumsMetta / LU
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricTukumsMetta / LU
Wins13
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-22-4
Biggest losses2-56-20-44-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against5644

Model comparison

MetricTukumsMetta / LU
Form36%64%
Att27%73%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Metta / LU

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ 188Bet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tukums = 1.52 (league 1.66), Metta / LU = 1.13 (league 1.27)

Metta / LU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tukums 0 7.0% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 28.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1