Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 11:00 • Zemgales Olimpiskā centra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.66) 2.21 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.9% 17.6% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.6%
0 - 1
12.4%
0 - 3
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Riga
0 1 2 3 4 5
FS Jelgava 0 5.6% 12.4% 13.6% 10.0% 5.5% 2.4%
1 3.8% 8.4% 9.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6%
2 1.3% 2.8% 3.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFS JelgavaRiga
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack42%75%
Defense63%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 218 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FS Jelgava Riga
HATHAT
Played141529151328
Wins50%7%28%73%92%82%
Draws21%33%28%20%8%14%
Loses29%60%45%7%0%4%

Form: FS Jelgava: DLDLWWLDWWDLWDLLWDLLLLWLLDDLW • Riga: WDDLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric FS Jelgava Riga
HATHAT
GF total201030363773
GF avg1.40.71.02.42.82.6
GA total14223691019
GA avg1.01.51.20.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFS JelgavaRiga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%86%100%46%
1.531%31%75%21%
2.510%7%50%0%
3.57%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFS JelgavaRiga
HATHAT
Clean sheets2249615
Failed to score31013000

Penalties

MetricFS JelgavaRiga
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricFS JelgavaRiga
Wins215
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-46-02-6
Biggest losses1-23-01-2
Goals For4466
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricFS JelgavaRiga
Form25%75%
Att36%64%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%88%
Total22.5%77.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Riga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.00 @ William Hill
Draw6.16 @ Pinnacle
Away1.27 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FS Jelgava = 0.68 (league 1.66), Riga = 2.21 (league 1.27)

Riga
0 1 2 3 4 5
FS Jelgava 0 5.6% 12.4% 13.6% 10.0% 5.5% 2.4%
1 3.8% 8.4% 9.2% 6.8% 3.7% 1.6%
2 1.3% 2.8% 3.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.9% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 69.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1