Virsliga — Latvia
Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 15:00 • Stadions Skonto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.67) 0.88 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 26.9% 23.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Super Nova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auda 0 9.9% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.2% 12.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 8.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAudaSuper Nova
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack5%36%
Defense59%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auda Super Nova
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins53%29%41%20%14%17%
Draws7%21%14%47%29%38%
Loses40%50%45%33%57%45%

Form: Auda: LDWWLWWWWLLDLDDWWWLLWWLLLLWLL • Super Nova: LWLDLDDLDLWDDDDWLLLDLWLDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Auda Super Nova
HATHAT
GF total221335191534
GF avg1.50.91.21.31.11.2
GA total152237232245
GA avg1.01.61.31.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAudaSuper Nova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%66%76%79%
1.531%34%24%41%
2.510%17%10%14%
3.57%3%7%10%
4.50%3%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAudaSuper Nova
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310426
Failed to score268347

Penalties

MetricAudaSuper Nova
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total85

Streaks

MetricAudaSuper Nova
Wins41
Draws24
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-44-00-3
Biggest losses1-36-02-64-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against3664

Model comparison

MetricAudaSuper Nova
Form43%57%
Att11%89%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h93%7%
Goals78%22%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Auda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 188Bet
Draw5.42 @ Pinnacle
Away8.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ SBO
Under 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auda = 1.43 (league 1.67), Super Nova = 0.88 (league 1.25)

Super Nova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auda 0 9.9% 8.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.2% 12.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 8.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 23.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1