Virsliga — Latvia
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 15:00 • Stadiona Esplanade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.67) 3.45 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.4% 10.1% 69.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
8.4%
1 - 3
8.0%
0 - 2
7.3%
Riga
0 1 2 3 4 5
BFC Daugavpils 0 1.2% 4.2% 7.3% 8.4% 7.2% 5.0%
1 1.2% 4.0% 6.9% 8.0% 6.9% 4.7%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.3% 3.8% 3.3% 2.3%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBFC DaugavpilsRiga
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 217 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BFC Daugavpils Riga
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins64%19%40%73%87%80%
Draws7%38%23%20%13%17%
Loses29%44%37%7%0%3%

Form: BFC Daugavpils: WLLWWLDWWDLLLDWLDDLWLDWWDLWWWL • Riga: WDDLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric BFC Daugavpils Riga
HATHAT
GF total281947364076
GF avg2.01.21.62.42.72.5
GA total22325491221
GA avg1.62.01.80.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBFC DaugavpilsRiga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%80%97%47%
1.540%47%73%23%
2.520%20%50%0%
3.57%17%13%0%
4.50%10%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBFC DaugavpilsRiga
HATHAT
Clean sheets4269716
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricBFC DaugavpilsRiga
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total94

Streaks

MetricBFC DaugavpilsRiga
Wins315
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-36-02-6
Biggest losses1-75-11-2—
Goals For4366
Goals Against7522

Model comparison

MetricBFC DaugavpilsRiga
Form41%59%
Att37%63%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total30.3%69.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Riga and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.50 @ Unibet
Draw5.50 @ Unibet
Away1.31 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ Betano
Under 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BFC Daugavpils = 0.96 (league 1.67), Riga = 3.45 (league 1.25)

Riga
0 1 2 3 4 5
BFC Daugavpils 0 1.2% 4.2% 7.3% 8.4% 7.2% 5.0%
1 1.2% 4.0% 6.9% 8.0% 6.9% 4.7%
2 0.6% 1.9% 3.3% 3.8% 3.3% 2.3%
3 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.4% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 69.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1