Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:00 • Stadions Daugava
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.66) 2.17 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 20.4% 54.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.8%
0 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Rīgas FS
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Liepaja 0 3.1% 6.7% 7.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2%
1 4.1% 8.8% 9.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.6% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK LiepajaRīgas FS
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack82%100%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Liepaja Rīgas FS
HATHAT
Played161430161430
Wins56%50%53%81%71%77%
Draws25%7%17%6%7%7%
Loses19%43%30%13%21%17%

Form: FK Liepaja: WDWLLLWLDWDLWLDWDWWWWLLWWWLWWW • Rīgas FS: WWWWLWWWLWDWLWWWWLWWWWWWWWWLWD

League goals

Metric FK Liepaja Rīgas FS
HATHAT
GF total292251423577
GF avg1.81.61.72.62.52.6
GA total182543131730
GA avg1.11.81.40.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK LiepajaRīgas FS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%90%67%
1.557%40%63%23%
2.520%20%37%7%
3.513%10%33%3%
4.50%3%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK LiepajaRīgas FS
HATHAT
Clean sheets7297310
Failed to score336213

Penalties

MetricFK LiepajaRīgas FS
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricFK LiepajaRīgas FS
Wins49
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-46-01-7
Biggest losses2-54-11-43-1
Goals For4467
Goals Against5443

Model comparison

MetricFK LiepajaRīgas FS
Form55%45%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rīgas FS

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Bet365
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.31 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FK Liepaja = 1.30 (league 1.66), Rīgas FS = 2.17 (league 1.27)

Rīgas FS
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Liepaja 0 3.1% 6.7% 7.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2%
1 4.1% 8.8% 9.5% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.6% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1%
3 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 54.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1