Virsliga — Latvia
Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 15:00 • Stadions Skonto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.58 (league 1.67) 0.77 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.6% 14.8% 8.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
10.1%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
FK Liepaja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga 0 3.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRigaFK Liepaja
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%82%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Riga FK Liepaja
HATHAT
Played151631171431
Wins73%88%81%53%50%52%
Draws20%13%16%29%7%19%
Loses7%0%3%18%43%29%

Form: Riga: WDDLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWWWDW • FK Liepaja: WDWLLLWLDWDLWLDWDWWWWLLWWWLWWWD

League goals

Metric Riga FK Liepaja
HATHAT
GF total364177312253
GF avg2.42.62.51.81.61.7
GA total91221202545
GA avg0.60.80.71.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRigaFK Liepaja
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.597%45%81%71%
1.571%23%58%42%
2.548%0%19%19%
3.513%0%13%10%
4.513%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRigaFK Liepaja
HATHAT
Clean sheets9817729
Failed to score011336

Penalties

MetricRigaFK Liepaja
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricRigaFK Liepaja
Wins154
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-64-02-4
Biggest losses1-2—2-54-1
Goals For6644
Goals Against2254

Model comparison

MetricRigaFK Liepaja
Form57%43%
Att64%36%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h100%0%
Goals79%21%
Total68.4%31.6%

Advice: Double chance : Riga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ William Hill
Draw5.30 @ 188Bet
Away8.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.41 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Riga = 2.58 (league 1.67), FK Liepaja = 0.77 (league 1.25)

FK Liepaja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga 0 3.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.1% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.5% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.6% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1