Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Stadions Daugava
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.67) 1.15 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.6% 23.5% 24.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Tukums
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grobiņa 0 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.6% 11.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrobiņaTukums
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack46%54%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grobiņa Tukums
HATHAT
Played141731161531
Wins36%12%23%38%13%26%
Draws14%18%16%25%20%23%
Loses50%71%61%38%67%52%

Form: Grobiņa: DWLLLDLLLLWWDWDLLLWLLLLDLLLWLLW • Tukums: LDLDWLLLLDDWDLLLLDWLWLWLLWDLLWW

League goals

Metric Grobiņa Tukums
HATHAT
GF total191029221335
GF avg1.40.60.91.40.91.1
GA total233356263157
GA avg1.61.91.81.62.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrobiņaTukums
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%81%65%81%
1.526%55%42%52%
2.56%26%6%29%
3.50%13%0%13%
4.50%3%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrobiņaTukums
HATHAT
Clean sheets336426
Failed to score39124711

Penalties

MetricGrobiņaTukums
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricGrobiņaTukums
Wins21
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-00-3
Biggest losses1-46-02-56-2
Goals For3233
Goals Against4656

Model comparison

MetricGrobiņaTukums
Form46%54%
Att46%54%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : Grobiņa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Unibet
Away4.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No2.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grobiņa = 1.76 (league 1.67), Tukums = 1.15 (league 1.25)

Tukums
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grobiņa 0 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.6% 11.0% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.6% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 24.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1