Virsliga — Latvia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 • Stadiona Esplanade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.67) 1.08 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.2% 24.0% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Auda
0 1 2 3 4 5
BFC Daugavpils 0 6.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBFC DaugavpilsAuda
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack82%45%
Defense9%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BFC Daugavpils Auda
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins60%19%39%56%27%42%
Draws7%38%23%6%27%16%
Loses33%44%39%38%47%42%

Form: BFC Daugavpils: WLLWWLDWWDLLLDWLDDLWLDWWDLWWWLL • Auda: LDWWLWWWWLLDLDDWWWLLWWLLLLWLLWD

League goals

Metric BFC Daugavpils Auda
HATHAT
GF total281947251439
GF avg1.91.21.51.60.91.3
GA total233255172340
GA avg1.52.01.81.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBFC DaugavpilsAuda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%81%74%68%
1.539%45%32%35%
2.519%19%13%16%
3.56%16%6%3%
4.50%10%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBFC DaugavpilsAuda
HATHAT
Clean sheets4267310
Failed to score224268

Penalties

MetricBFC DaugavpilsAuda
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total99

Streaks

MetricBFC DaugavpilsAuda
Wins34
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-12-4
Biggest losses1-75-11-36-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against7536

Model comparison

MetricBFC DaugavpilsAuda
Form56%44%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : BFC Daugavpils or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away2.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ SBO
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BFC Daugavpils = 1.70 (league 1.67), Auda = 1.08 (league 1.25)

Auda
0 1 2 3 4 5
BFC Daugavpils 0 6.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.6% 11.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.7% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.2% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 23.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1