Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • LNK Sporta Parks
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.42 (league 1.67) 0.64 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.0% 8.2% 3.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.5%
2 - 0
10.1%
4 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Metta / LU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rīgas FS 0 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.5% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRīgas FSMetta / LU
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack82%64%
Defense36%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rīgas FS Metta / LU
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins81%67%74%20%19%19%
Draws6%13%10%27%13%19%
Loses13%20%16%53%69%61%

Form: Rīgas FS: WWWWLWWWLWDWLWWWWLWWWWWWWWWLWDD • Metta / LU: LLWWWDLDLLLLDLLLLDLDLWLLWDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Rīgas FS Metta / LU
HATHAT
GF total423779141630
GF avg2.62.52.50.91.01.0
GA total131932283563
GA avg0.81.31.01.92.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRīgas FSMetta / LU
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%68%58%87%
1.565%26%29%65%
2.535%6%6%32%
3.532%3%3%19%
4.519%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRīgas FSMetta / LU
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310224
Failed to score2137613

Penalties

MetricRīgas FSMetta / LU
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total54

Streaks

MetricRīgas FSMetta / LU
Wins93
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-73-22-4
Biggest losses1-43-10-44-0
Goals For6734
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricRīgas FSMetta / LU
Form73%27%
Att56%44%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total71.2%28.8%

Advice: Double chance : Rīgas FS or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.11 @ Betano
Draw11.78 @ Pinnacle
Away22.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rīgas FS = 3.42 (league 1.67), Metta / LU = 0.64 (league 1.25)

Metta / LU
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rīgas FS 0 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.5% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.0% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 3.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1