Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 11:00 • Zemgales Olimpiskā centra
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.67) 1.05 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 24.3% 23.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
BFC Daugavpils
0 1 2 3 4 5
FS Jelgava 0 6.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.0% 11.5% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack77%46%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FS Jelgava BFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins44%6%25%63%19%41%
Draws25%38%31%6%38%22%
Loses31%56%44%31%44%38%

Form: FS Jelgava: DLDLWWLDWWDLWDLLWDLLLLWLLDDLWLDD • BFC Daugavpils: WLLWWLDWWDLLLDWLDDLWLDWWDLWWWLLW

League goals

Metric FS Jelgava BFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
GF total231134291948
GF avg1.40.71.11.81.21.5
GA total182341233255
GA avg1.11.41.31.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%88%88%78%
1.531%31%38%44%
2.59%9%19%19%
3.56%0%6%16%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
HATHAT
Clean sheets224527
Failed to score31013224

Penalties

MetricFS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total19

Streaks

MetricFS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
Wins23
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-43-01-3
Biggest losses2-33-01-75-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against3375

Model comparison

MetricFS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
Form36%64%
Att63%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total45.5%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or BFC Daugavpils

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.83 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.19 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FS Jelgava = 1.67 (league 1.67), BFC Daugavpils = 1.05 (league 1.25)

BFC Daugavpils
0 1 2 3 4 5
FS Jelgava 0 6.6% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.0% 11.5% 6.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 23.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1