Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Stadions Daugava
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.67) 1.32 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 26.2% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Super Nova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grobiņa 0 7.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGrobiņaSuper Nova
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack70%70%
Defense40%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Grobiņa Super Nova
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins40%12%25%19%13%16%
Draws13%18%16%50%25%38%
Loses47%71%59%31%63%47%

Form: Grobiņa: DWLLLDLLLLWWDWDLLLWLLLLDLLLWLLWW • Super Nova: LWLDLDDLDLWDDDDWLLLDLWLDDLWLLLLD

League goals

Metric Grobiņa Super Nova
HATHAT
GF total201030201838
GF avg1.30.60.91.31.11.2
GA total233356242751
GA avg1.51.91.81.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGrobiņaSuper Nova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%78%78%81%
1.525%53%25%44%
2.56%25%9%16%
3.50%13%6%9%
4.50%3%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGrobiņaSuper Nova
HATHAT
Clean sheets437426
Failed to score3912347

Penalties

MetricGrobiņaSuper Nova
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricGrobiņaSuper Nova
Wins21
Draws14
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-14-00-3
Biggest losses1-46-02-64-1
Goals For3243
Goals Against4664

Model comparison

MetricGrobiņaSuper Nova
Form90%10%
Att50%50%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h36%64%
Goals43%57%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Grobiņa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 188Bet
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away4.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Grobiņa = 1.32 (league 1.67), Super Nova = 1.32 (league 1.25)

Super Nova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Grobiņa 0 7.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1