Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:00 • Tukuma pilsētas stadions
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.66) 3.15 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.6% 12.7% 67.6%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.2%
1 - 2
7.8%
0 - 3
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rīgas FS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tukums 0 1.4% 4.5% 7.1% 7.4% 5.9% 3.7%
1 1.6% 4.9% 7.8% 8.2% 6.4% 4.1%
2 0.9% 2.7% 4.3% 4.5% 3.5% 2.2%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTukumsRīgas FS
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack67%100%
Defense0%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tukums Rīgas FS
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins38%13%25%82%67%75%
Draws25%19%22%6%13%9%
Loses38%69%53%12%20%16%

Form: Tukums: LDLDWLLLLDDWDLLLLDWLWLWLLWDLLWWL • Rīgas FS: WWWWLWWWLWDWLWWWWLWWWWWWWWWLWDDW

League goals

Metric Tukums Rīgas FS
HATHAT
GF total221335473784
GF avg1.40.81.12.82.52.6
GA total263258141933
GA avg1.62.01.80.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTukumsRīgas FS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%81%91%69%
1.541%50%66%25%
2.56%28%38%6%
3.50%13%34%3%
4.50%6%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTukumsRīgas FS
HATHAT
Clean sheets4267310
Failed to score4812213

Penalties

MetricTukumsRīgas FS
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricTukumsRīgas FS
Wins29
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-36-01-7
Biggest losses2-56-21-43-1
Goals For3367
Goals Against5643

Model comparison

MetricTukumsRīgas FS
Form43%57%
Att32%68%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%100%
Goals22%78%
Total33.8%66.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rīgas FS and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home13.00 @ William Hill
Draw7.50 @ Bet365
Away1.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Unibet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tukums = 1.10 (league 1.66), Rīgas FS = 3.15 (league 1.27)

Rīgas FS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tukums 0 1.4% 4.5% 7.1% 7.4% 5.9% 3.7%
1 1.6% 4.9% 7.8% 8.2% 6.4% 4.1%
2 0.9% 2.7% 4.3% 4.5% 3.5% 2.2%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 67.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1