Virsliga — Latvia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.66) 3.89 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.5% 4.7% 74.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
13.0%
0 - 4
12.6%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Riga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metta / LU 0 1.3% 5.1% 10.0% 13.0% 12.6% 9.8%
1 0.6% 2.2% 4.4% 5.6% 5.5% 4.3%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMetta / LURiga
Played55
Form20%87%
Attack46%100%
Defense8%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Metta / LU Riga
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins20%18%19%75%88%81%
Draws27%12%19%19%13%16%
Loses53%71%63%6%0%3%

Form: Metta / LU: LLWWWDLDLLLLDLLLLDLDLWLLWDLLWLLL • Riga: WDDLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Metta / LU Riga
HATHAT
GF total141731394180
GF avg0.91.01.02.42.62.5
GA total28406891221
GA avg1.92.42.10.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMetta / LURiga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%88%97%44%
1.528%66%72%22%
2.56%34%50%0%
3.53%22%13%0%
4.50%3%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMetta / LURiga
HATHAT
Clean sheets22410818
Failed to score7613011

Penalties

MetricMetta / LURiga
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricMetta / LURiga
Wins315
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-46-02-6
Biggest losses0-45-11-2—
Goals For3466
Goals Against4522

Model comparison

MetricMetta / LURiga
Form19%81%
Att32%68%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h7%93%
Goals25%75%
Total17.8%82.2%

Advice: Winner : Riga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home23.00 @ William Hill
Draw12.31 @ Pinnacle
Away1.10 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.43 @ Unibet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Metta / LU = 0.43 (league 1.66), Riga = 3.89 (league 1.27)

Riga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Metta / LU 0 1.3% 5.1% 10.0% 13.0% 12.6% 9.8%
1 0.6% 2.2% 4.4% 5.6% 5.5% 4.3%
2 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 4.7% · Away win 74.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1