Virsliga — Latvia
Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 15:00 • Stadions Skonto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.67) 1.32 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 22.9% 27.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
7.9%
FK Liepaja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auda 0 4.4% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.9% 10.4% 6.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAudaFK Liepaja
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack31%69%
Defense15%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auda FK Liepaja
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins56%25%41%53%47%50%
Draws6%25%16%29%7%19%
Loses38%50%44%18%47%31%

Form: Auda: LDWWLWWWWLLDLDDWWWLLWWLLLLWLLWDL • FK Liepaja: WDWLLLWLDWDLWLDWDWWWWLLWWWLWWWDL

League goals

Metric Auda FK Liepaja
HATHAT
GF total251439312253
GF avg1.60.91.21.81.51.7
GA total172441202848
GA avg1.11.51.31.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAudaFK Liepaja
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%69%78%72%
1.531%34%56%44%
2.513%16%19%22%
3.56%3%13%9%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAudaFK Liepaja
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310729
Failed to score279347

Penalties

MetricAudaFK Liepaja
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total93

Streaks

MetricAudaFK Liepaja
Wins44
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-44-02-4
Biggest losses1-36-02-54-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against3654

Model comparison

MetricAudaFK Liepaja
Form29%71%
Att31%69%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals64%36%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FK Liepaja

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Dafabet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auda = 1.82 (league 1.67), FK Liepaja = 1.32 (league 1.25)

FK Liepaja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auda 0 4.4% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.9% 10.4% 6.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 27.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1