Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 • LNK Sporta Parks
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.18 (league 1.67) 0.38 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.0% 7.5% 2.2%
best score tips
3 - 0
15.2%
2 - 0
14.4%
4 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Grobiņa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rīgas FS 0 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 5.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRīgas FSGrobiņa
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack100%25%
Defense63%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rīgas FS Grobiņa
HATHAT
Played171633161733
Wins82%69%76%38%12%24%
Draws6%13%9%19%18%18%
Loses12%19%15%44%71%58%

Form: Rīgas FS: WWWWLWWWLWDWLWWWWLWWWWWWWWWLWDDWW • Grobiņa: DWLLLDLLLLWWDWDLLLWLLLLDLLLWLLWWD

League goals

Metric Rīgas FS Grobiņa
HATHAT
GF total474188201030
GF avg2.82.62.71.30.60.9
GA total142135233356
GA avg0.81.31.11.41.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRīgas FSGrobiņa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%70%61%76%
1.567%27%24%52%
2.539%6%6%24%
3.536%3%0%12%
4.521%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRīgas FSGrobiņa
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310538
Failed to score2134913

Penalties

MetricRīgas FSGrobiņa
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricRīgas FSGrobiņa
Wins92
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-72-00-1
Biggest losses1-43-11-46-0
Goals For6732
Goals Against4346

Model comparison

MetricRīgas FSGrobiņa
Form61%39%
Att80%20%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h100%0%
Goals86%14%
Total71.2%28.8%

Advice: Winner : Rīgas FS

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ 188Bet
Draw6.28 @ Pinnacle
Away11.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.90 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.14 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rīgas FS = 3.18 (league 1.67), Grobiņa = 0.38 (league 1.25)

Grobiņa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rīgas FS 0 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 5.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.2% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.1% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.7% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.0% · Draw 7.5% · Away win 2.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1