Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 11:00 •
Stadions Daugava
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.67)
2.79 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8% | 11.4% | 77.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 3
12.9%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Riga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grobiņa | 0 | 3.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grobiņa | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 11% | 28% |
| Defense | 67% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grobiņa | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 18 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 38% | 11% | 24% | 71% | 88% | 79% |
| Draws | 19% | 17% | 18% | 24% | 12% | 18% |
| Loses | 44% | 72% | 59% | 6% | 0% | 3% |
Form: Grobiņa: DWLLLDLLLLWWDWDLLLWLLLLDLLLWLLWWDL • Riga: WDDLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWWWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Grobiņa | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 10 | 30 | 39 | 42 | 81 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 23 | 38 | 61 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grobiņa | Riga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 76% | 94% | 41% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 53% | 68% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 26% | 47% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 15% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grobiņa | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grobiņa | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grobiņa | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 15 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 6-0 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 6-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grobiņa | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 16% | 84% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 5% | 95% |
| Total | 22.3% | 77.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Riga and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Grobiņa = 0.54 (league 1.67), Riga = 2.79 (league 1.25)
| Riga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grobiņa | 0 | 3.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.8% · Draw 11.4% · Away win 77.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1