Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 11:00 •
Stadionā Esplanāde
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.67)
1.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.6% | 21.5% | 35.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| FK Liepaja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BFC Daugavpils | 0 | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 22% | 39% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| Wins | 59% | 18% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 12% | 41% | 26% | 33% | 6% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 41% | 35% | 17% | 44% | 29% |
Form: BFC Daugavpils: WLLWWLDWWDLLLDWLDDLWLDWWDLWWWLLWDD • FK Liepaja: WDWLLLWLDWDLWLDWDWWWWLLWWWLWWWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 19 | 50 | 33 | 24 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 25 | 32 | 57 | 22 | 29 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 85% | 76% | 79% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 44% | 59% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 18% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 15% | 12% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 9 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 9 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 5-1 | 2-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or FK Liepaja
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.15 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away2.07 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Unibet
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): BFC Daugavpils = 1.93 (league 1.67), FK Liepaja = 1.80 (league 1.25)
| FK Liepaja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| BFC Daugavpils | 0 | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 35.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
