Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 11:00 • Stadionā Esplanāde
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.67) 1.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 21.5% 35.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
FK Liepaja
0 1 2 3 4 5
BFC Daugavpils 0 2.4% 4.3% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.6% 8.3% 7.5% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.2% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack22%39%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BFC Daugavpils FK Liepaja
HATHAT
Played171734181634
Wins59%18%38%50%50%50%
Draws12%41%26%33%6%21%
Loses29%41%35%17%44%29%

Form: BFC Daugavpils: WLLWWLDWWDLLLDWLDDLWLDWWDLWWWLLWDD • FK Liepaja: WDWLLLWLDWDLWLDWDWWWWLLWWWLWWWDLWD

League goals

Metric BFC Daugavpils FK Liepaja
HATHAT
GF total311950332457
GF avg1.81.11.51.81.51.7
GA total253257222951
GA avg1.51.91.71.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%76%79%74%
1.538%44%59%44%
2.518%18%18%21%
3.56%15%12%9%
4.50%9%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
HATHAT
Clean sheets538729
Failed to score235347

Penalties

MetricBFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total93

Streaks

MetricBFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
Wins34
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-02-4
Biggest losses1-75-12-54-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against7554

Model comparison

MetricBFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
Form38%62%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FK Liepaja

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Superbet
Draw3.45 @ 1xBet
Away2.07 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Unibet
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BFC Daugavpils = 1.93 (league 1.67), FK Liepaja = 1.80 (league 1.25)

FK Liepaja
0 1 2 3 4 5
BFC Daugavpils 0 2.4% 4.3% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.6% 8.3% 7.5% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.5% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.2% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 35.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1