Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 17:00 • Stadions Skonto
Match Finished
3 - 4
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.66) 1.02 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.6% 23.0% 21.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Rīgas FS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga 0 5.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.7% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRigaRīgas FS
Played55
Form73%87%
Attack43%100%
Defense93%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.219 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Riga Rīgas FS
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins71%83%77%83%71%77%
Draws24%17%20%6%12%9%
Loses6%0%3%11%18%14%

Form: Riga: WDDLWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWWWWDWWWDD • Rīgas FS: WWWWLWWWLWDWLWWWWLWWWWWWWWWLWDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Riga Rīgas FS
HATHAT
GF total394382524496
GF avg2.32.42.32.92.62.7
GA total91322142236
GA avg0.50.70.60.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRigaRīgas FS
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%43%91%69%
1.566%20%69%26%
2.546%0%43%6%
3.511%0%37%3%
4.511%0%23%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRigaRīgas FS
HATHAT
Clean sheets119208311
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricRigaRīgas FS
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricRigaRīgas FS
Wins159
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-66-01-7
Biggest losses1-21-43-1
Goals For6667
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricRigaRīgas FS
Form46%54%
Att24%76%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Riga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Riga = 1.80 (league 1.66), Rīgas FS = 1.02 (league 1.27)

Rīgas FS
0 1 2 3 4 5
Riga 0 5.9% 6.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.7% 10.9% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.9% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.6% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1