Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 19:00 • York Lions Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.32 (league 1.46) 1.33 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 8.0% 6.0%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.8%
3 - 1
6.3%
5 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Valour
0 1 2 3 4 5
York United 0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
2 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 6.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYork UnitedValour
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack73%60%
Defense33%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric York United Valour
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%25%38%33%17%25%
Draws25%25%25%25%8%17%
Loses25%50%38%42%75%58%

Form: York United: WLLDLLLWWLWDDWWWDLDWLWDL • Valour: LDLLLWLDWLLLLLWWLLDLDWWL

League goals

Metric York United Valour
HATHAT
GF total251439131528
GF avg2.11.21.61.11.31.2
GA total141832183654
GA avg1.21.51.31.53.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYork UnitedValour
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%63%92%
1.546%54%33%58%
2.521%8%13%42%
3.58%4%4%21%
4.54%0%4%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYork UnitedValour
HATHAT
Clean sheets448202
Failed to score134459

Penalties

MetricYork UnitedValour
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricYork UnitedValour
Wins32
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-12-5
Biggest losses1-24-00-55-0
Goals For5335
Goals Against2455

Model comparison

MetricYork UnitedValour
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : York United or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw4.25 @ Unibet
Away5.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): York United = 4.32 (league 1.46), Valour = 1.33 (league 1.17)

Valour
0 1 2 3 4 5
York United 0 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
2 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 6.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 6.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1