Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 20:00 • Tim Hortons Field
Second Half
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.46) 0.72 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 19.4% 12.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
York United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forge 0 6.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.0% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricForgeYork United
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack53%47%
Defense67%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Forge York United
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%50%56%50%23%37%
Draws38%36%37%29%31%30%
Loses0%14%7%21%46%33%

Form: Forge: WWDDDDWDWWWDWDWWWWWWLWLDWDD • York United: WLLDLLLWWLWDDWWWDLDWLWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Forge York United
HATHAT
GF total262248281543
GF avg2.01.61.82.01.21.6
GA total91322161935
GA avg0.70.90.81.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineForgeYork United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%56%85%67%
1.552%19%44%52%
2.511%4%19%7%
3.511%4%7%4%
4.57%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricForgeYork United
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612549
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricForgeYork United
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricForgeYork United
Wins63
Draws42
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-55-11-3
Biggest losses—4-11-24-0
Goals For5553
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricForgeYork United
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h75%25%
Goals62%38%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Forge or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away4.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Forge = 2.06 (league 1.46), York United = 0.72 (league 1.16)

York United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forge 0 6.2% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.5% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.0% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 12.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1