Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 22:00 • Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.32) 0.89 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 29.9% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 12.8% 11.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFluminenseCeara
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack78%56%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fluminense Ceara
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins69%20%43%43%21%32%
Draws8%27%18%21%36%29%
Loses23%53%39%36%43%39%

Form: Fluminense: LWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWL • Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Fluminense Ceara
HATHAT
GF total181735141327
GF avg1.41.11.31.00.91.0
GA total102535111627
GA avg0.81.71.30.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFluminenseCeara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%68%64%68%
1.543%39%29%25%
2.57%14%4%4%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFluminenseCeara
HATHAT
Clean sheets549549
Failed to score2575510

Penalties

MetricFluminenseCeara
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFluminenseCeara
Wins31
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-23-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricFluminenseCeara
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Fluminense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away6.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Betano
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Betfair
No1.58 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fluminense = 1.17 (league 1.32), Ceara = 0.89 (league 0.81)

Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 12.8% 11.4% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.3% 5.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.7% 7.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1