Serie A — Brazil
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 22:00 • Estádio do Maracanã
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.31) 0.76 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.8% 30.5% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 14.4% 10.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFluminenseCeara
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack46%31%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fluminense Ceara
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins71%20%45%43%20%31%
Draws7%27%17%21%33%28%
Loses21%53%38%36%47%41%

Form: Fluminense: LWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWLW • Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDLL

League goals

Metric Fluminense Ceara
HATHAT
GF total191736141327
GF avg1.41.11.21.00.90.9
GA total102535111728
GA avg0.71.71.20.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFluminenseCeara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%66%62%69%
1.541%38%28%24%
2.57%14%3%3%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFluminenseCeara
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410549
Failed to score2575611

Penalties

MetricFluminenseCeara
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFluminenseCeara
Wins31
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-23-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricFluminenseCeara
Form69%31%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fluminense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.66 @ Dafabet
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away7.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fluminense = 1.18 (league 1.31), Ceara = 0.76 (league 0.83)

Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fluminense 0 14.4% 10.9% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1