Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 21:30 • Ilha do Retiro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.31) 3.06 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.0% 9.6% 77.4%
best score tips
0 - 3
12.9%
0 - 2
12.6%
0 - 4
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 2.7% 8.3% 12.6% 12.9% 9.9% 6.0%
1 1.5% 4.6% 7.0% 7.1% 5.4% 3.3%
2 0.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport RecifeFlamengo
Played55
Form0%67%
Attack17%61%
Defense28%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Recife Flamengo
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins6%6%6%71%53%63%
Draws44%25%34%29%20%25%
Loses50%69%59%0%27%13%

Form: Sport Recife: DLLLLDLLLDLLLDDDWDLLDWLDDLDLLLLL • Flamengo: DWWWDWLWDWWWLWWWDWWWDWDWDLWWLWDW

League goals

Metric Sport Recife Flamengo
HATHAT
GF total15924422264
GF avg0.90.60.82.51.52.0
GA total27285581220
GA avg1.71.81.70.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport RecifeFlamengo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%84%81%50%
1.519%59%56%13%
2.50%22%28%0%
3.50%6%13%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport RecifeFlamengo
HATHAT
Clean sheets32511516
Failed to score6814246

Penalties

MetricSport RecifeFlamengo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricSport RecifeFlamengo
Wins13
Draws31
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-18-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-0—2-1
Goals For2283
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricSport RecifeFlamengo
Form0%100%
Att21%79%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h7%93%
Goals8%92%
Total17.6%82.4%

Advice: Winner : Flamengo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ Betano
Draw4.86 @ Pinnacle
Away1.44 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.31 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sport Recife = 0.55 (league 1.31), Flamengo = 3.06 (league 0.83)

Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Recife 0 2.7% 8.3% 12.6% 12.9% 9.9% 6.0%
1 1.5% 4.6% 7.0% 7.1% 5.4% 3.3%
2 0.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.0% · Draw 9.6% · Away win 77.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1