Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Aug 24 2025 • 19:00 • Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.30) 1.08 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 20.7% 18.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Santos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia 0 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.9% 9.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBahiaSantos
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack64%57%
Defense64%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bahia Santos
HATHAT
Played991891019
Wins67%33%50%33%30%32%
Draws33%33%33%22%10%16%
Loses0%33%17%44%60%53%

Form: Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDW • Santos: LDLWLLLDLWLWWLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Bahia Santos
HATHAT
GF total16925101020
GF avg1.81.01.41.11.01.1
GA total8917141529
GA avg0.91.00.91.61.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBahiaSantos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%63%79%
1.544%17%32%47%
2.517%11%11%11%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBahiaSantos
HATHAT
Clean sheets336314
Failed to score044347

Penalties

MetricBahiaSantos
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBahiaSantos
Wins32
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-12-3
Biggest losses—3-00-63-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3363

Model comparison

MetricBahiaSantos
Form56%44%
Att53%47%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bahia or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bahia = 2.08 (league 1.30), Santos = 1.08 (league 0.84)

Santos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia 0 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
1 8.9% 9.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 18.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1