Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Match Finished
5 - 1
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.32) 1.22 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 25.3% 30.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirassol 0 6.5% 7.9% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.8% 12.0% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.1% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMirassolBahia
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack39%56%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mirassol Bahia
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%30%42%70%33%53%
Draws44%40%42%30%33%32%
Loses0%30%16%0%33%16%

Form: Mirassol: LDDWDDLWDWWDWWDWLDW • Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWW

League goals

Metric Mirassol Bahia
HATHAT
GF total18123018927
GF avg2.01.21.61.81.01.4
GA total910198917
GA avg1.01.01.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMirassolBahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%74%79%63%
1.542%26%47%16%
2.516%0%16%11%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMirassolBahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score011044

Penalties

MetricMirassolBahia
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMirassolBahia
Wins23
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-00-3
Biggest losses2-13-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricMirassolBahia
Form42%58%
Att41%59%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bahia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mirassol = 1.51 (league 1.32), Bahia = 1.22 (league 0.82)

Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirassol 0 6.5% 7.9% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.8% 12.0% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.1% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 30.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1