Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 00:00 • Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.32) 1.07 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.5% 21.6% 20.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sao Paulo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 4.8% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.4% 10.1% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruzeiroSao Paulo
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack39%61%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruzeiro Sao Paulo
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins73%40%57%55%20%38%
Draws9%40%24%27%50%38%
Loses18%20%19%18%30%24%

Form: Cruzeiro: WLDWLWWWDWWDWWWDLWLDW • Sao Paulo: DDDDWDDLWLLLLDWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Cruzeiro Sao Paulo
HATHAT
GF total221234151126
GF avg2.01.21.61.41.11.2
GA total961591322
GA avg0.80.60.70.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruzeiroSao Paulo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%52%71%67%
1.552%14%48%33%
2.519%5%5%5%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruzeiroSao Paulo
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610527
Failed to score145336

Penalties

MetricCruzeiroSao Paulo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCruzeiroSao Paulo
Wins35
Draws14
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-11-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-32-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricCruzeiroSao Paulo
Form35%65%
Att39%61%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sao Paulo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away4.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruzeiro = 1.97 (league 1.32), Sao Paulo = 1.07 (league 0.82)

Sao Paulo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 4.8% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.4% 10.1% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.1% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 20.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1