Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.31) 1.09 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.5% 22.4% 21.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 5.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.5% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogoAtletico-MG
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack63%19%
Defense56%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo Atletico-MG
HATHAT
Played11112291221
Wins45%45%45%44%17%29%
Draws36%18%27%44%25%33%
Loses18%36%27%11%58%38%

Form: Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLD • Atletico-MG: LDDLWDWWDDWWLLLWDLLLD

League goals

Metric Botafogo Atletico-MG
HATHAT
GF total21123312921
GF avg1.91.11.51.30.81.0
GA total1251791625
GA avg1.10.50.81.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogoAtletico-MG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%55%67%67%
1.545%18%29%43%
2.527%5%5%10%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogoAtletico-MG
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610437
Failed to score369257

Penalties

MetricBotafogoAtletico-MG
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBotafogoAtletico-MG
Wins32
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-52-00-1
Biggest losses0-21-01-32-0
Goals For4532
Goals Against3133

Model comparison

MetricBotafogoAtletico-MG
Form78%22%
Att77%23%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Botafogo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.72 @ 1xBet
Away5.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo = 1.88 (league 1.31), Atletico-MG = 1.09 (league 0.80)

Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 5.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.5% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.5% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1