Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.04 (league 1.32) 0.61 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 2.6% 1.0%
best score tips
5 - 0
9.5%
4 - 0
9.4%
3 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirassol 0 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.5% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMirassolJuventude
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack73%40%
Defense67%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mirassol Juventude
HATHAT
Played101222121022
Wins60%33%45%42%10%27%
Draws40%42%41%17%10%14%
Loses0%25%14%42%80%59%

Form: Mirassol: LDDWDDLWDWWDWWDWLDWWWD • Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWL

League goals

Metric Mirassol Juventude
HATHAT
GF total23163914519
GF avg2.31.31.81.20.50.9
GA total101323142943
GA avg1.01.11.01.22.92.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMirassolJuventude
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%73%55%82%
1.545%27%32%55%
2.523%5%0%32%
3.59%0%0%14%
4.55%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMirassolJuventude
HATHAT
Clean sheets246314
Failed to score0114610

Penalties

MetricMirassolJuventude
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricMirassolJuventude
Wins31
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-22-00-1
Biggest losses2-11-36-0
Goals For5322
Goals Against2336

Model comparison

MetricMirassolJuventude
Form61%39%
Att65%35%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h38%62%
Goals30%70%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Winner : Mirassol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.25 @ 188Bet
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mirassol = 5.04 (league 1.32), Juventude = 0.61 (league 0.82)

Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirassol 0 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.5% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 2.6% · Away win 1.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1