Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.32) 1.34 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 24.5% 32.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Internacional 0 5.4% 7.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.4% 7.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.0% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInternacionalGremio
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack53%27%
Defense27%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Internacional Gremio
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%18%32%36%18%27%
Draws18%36%27%36%27%32%
Loses36%45%41%27%55%41%

Form: Internacional: DWDLDWLLDDLLWWWDLWLLWL • Gremio: WLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDL

League goals

Metric Internacional Gremio
HATHAT
GF total14122691120
GF avg1.31.11.20.81.00.9
GA total12213391827
GA avg1.11.91.50.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInternacionalGremio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%82%68%82%
1.527%36%18%23%
2.514%18%5%9%
3.50%14%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInternacionalGremio
HATHAT
Clean sheets314314
Failed to score235437

Penalties

MetricInternacionalGremio
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricInternacionalGremio
Wins32
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-24-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricInternacionalGremio
Form55%45%
Att67%33%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Internacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away4.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Internacional = 1.57 (league 1.32), Gremio = 1.34 (league 0.82)

Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Internacional 0 5.4% 7.3% 4.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.4% 7.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.0% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1