Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Manoel Barradas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.32) 1.61 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 23.1% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fluminense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria 0 3.8% 6.0% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 6.3% 10.1% 8.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitoriaFluminense
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack19%44%
Defense13%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitoria Fluminense
HATHAT
Played111223101121
Wins36%0%17%60%18%38%
Draws45%42%43%10%27%19%
Loses18%58%39%30%55%43%

Form: Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWL • Fluminense: LWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDL

League goals

Metric Vitoria Fluminense
HATHAT
GF total14519121325
GF avg1.30.40.81.21.21.2
GA total122234101929
GA avg1.11.81.51.01.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitoriaFluminense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%78%71%76%
1.526%43%43%38%
2.50%4%5%19%
3.50%4%0%5%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitoriaFluminense
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score2810246

Penalties

MetricVitoriaFluminense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricVitoriaFluminense
Wins13
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-10-2
Biggest losses1-28-00-24-2
Goals For2223
Goals Against2824

Model comparison

MetricVitoriaFluminense
Form44%56%
Att30%70%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fluminense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.15 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitoria = 1.67 (league 1.32), Fluminense = 1.61 (league 0.82)

Fluminense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria 0 3.8% 6.0% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 6.3% 10.1% 8.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1