Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.31) 0.86 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 32.6% 31.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 1
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 16.1% 13.9% 6.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.5% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCearaBahia
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack25%56%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ceara Bahia
HATHAT
Played111122111021
Wins45%18%32%64%30%48%
Draws18%36%27%27%30%29%
Loses36%45%41%9%40%24%

Form: Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLD • Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Ceara Bahia
HATHAT
GF total101121191029
GF avg0.91.01.01.71.01.4
GA total81422101424
GA avg0.71.31.00.91.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCearaBahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%68%81%67%
1.532%27%43%24%
2.50%5%14%14%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCearaBahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets437437
Failed to score448044

Penalties

MetricCearaBahia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricCearaBahia
Wins13
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-21-25-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricCearaBahia
Form42%58%
Att31%69%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h7%93%
Goals33%67%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bahia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ceara = 0.96 (league 1.31), Bahia = 0.86 (league 0.81)

Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ceara 0 16.1% 13.9% 6.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.5% 6.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 31.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1