Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 00:00 • Arena MRV
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.32) 1.60 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 24.9% 48.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mirassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 6.8% 10.9% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico-MGMirassol
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack18%100%
Defense27%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico-MG Mirassol
HATHAT
Played91322111223
Wins44%15%27%64%33%48%
Draws44%23%32%36%42%39%
Loses11%62%41%0%25%13%

Form: Atletico-MG: LDDLWDWWDDWWLLLWDLLLDL • Mirassol: LDDWDDLWDWWDWWDWLDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Atletico-MG Mirassol
HATHAT
GF total12921251641
GF avg1.30.71.02.31.31.8
GA total91726101323
GA avg1.01.31.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico-MGMirassol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%68%96%70%
1.527%41%48%26%
2.55%9%22%4%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico-MGMirassol
HATHAT
Clean sheets437347
Failed to score268011

Penalties

MetricAtletico-MGMirassol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 80.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 20.00%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAtletico-MGMirassol
Wins23
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-15-10-2
Biggest losses1-32-02-1
Goals For3253
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricAtletico-MGMirassol
Form7%93%
Att14%86%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mirassol

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ 188Bet
Draw3.38 @ 1xBet
Away4.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atletico-MG = 1.08 (league 1.32), Mirassol = 1.60 (league 0.81)

Mirassol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 6.8% 10.9% 8.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.4% 11.8% 9.5% 5.1% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 1.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 48.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1