Serie A — Brazil
Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.31) 1.24 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.3% 21.1% 22.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 3.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.4% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.4% 6.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogoBahia
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack45%45%
Defense36%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo Bahia
HATHAT
Played121325121224
Wins50%38%44%67%25%46%
Draws33%23%28%25%33%29%
Loses17%38%28%8%42%25%

Form: Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDL • Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWWLLDLW

League goals

Metric Botafogo Bahia
HATHAT
GF total221335201232
GF avg1.81.01.41.71.01.3
GA total12820101828
GA avg1.00.60.80.81.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogoBahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%56%83%67%
1.540%20%38%25%
2.524%4%13%17%
3.512%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogoBahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611538
Failed to score3710044

Penalties

MetricBotafogoBahia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBotafogoBahia
Wins33
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-53-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-01-25-1
Goals For4533
Goals Against3235

Model comparison

MetricBotafogoBahia
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total46.0%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : Botafogo or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 1xBet
Draw3.58 @ 1xBet
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo = 2.06 (league 1.31), Bahia = 1.24 (league 0.80)

Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 3.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.6% 9.4% 5.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.4% 6.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 22.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1