Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio São Januário
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.16 (league 1.32) 0.74 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.8% 18.5% 11.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 0
11.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vasco DA Gama 0 5.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVasco DA GamaVitoria
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%38%
Defense13%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vasco DA Gama Vitoria
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%23%31%38%0%19%
Draws31%15%23%38%38%38%
Loses31%62%46%23%62%42%

Form: Vasco DA Gama: WLWLDLLLWLLWLDDLDWLLWDDWWL • Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Vasco DA Gama Vitoria
HATHAT
GF total19193815621
GF avg1.51.51.51.20.50.8
GA total152338132538
GA avg1.21.81.51.01.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVasco DA GamaVitoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%58%77%
1.542%46%23%42%
2.523%15%0%8%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVasco DA GamaVitoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets314426
Failed to score4483811

Penalties

MetricVasco DA GamaVitoria
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricVasco DA GamaVitoria
Wins21
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-62-1
Biggest losses0-23-01-28-0
Goals For3622
Goals Against3328

Model comparison

MetricVasco DA GamaVitoria
Form57%43%
Att73%27%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h60%40%
Goals45%55%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Vasco DA Gama or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Betano
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vasco DA Gama = 2.16 (league 1.32), Vitoria = 0.74 (league 0.81)

Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vasco DA Gama 0 5.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.9% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 6.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.8% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 11.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1