Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.31) 2.16 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 20.6% 46.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Bragantino 0 2.1% 4.5% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.6% 7.7% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 7.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.7% 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB BragantinoGremio
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Bragantino Gremio
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins38%31%35%38%23%31%
Draws31%15%23%38%31%35%
Loses31%54%42%23%46%35%

Form: RB Bragantino: DLWWWWWDLWWLWDLLLLLLWLDLDD • Gremio: WLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDLWDWD

League goals

Metric RB Bragantino Gremio
HATHAT
GF total181432131528
GF avg1.41.11.21.01.21.1
GA total191938112132
GA avg1.51.51.50.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB BragantinoGremio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%77%73%85%
1.527%50%23%23%
2.54%15%12%8%
3.54%4%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB BragantinoGremio
HATHAT
Clean sheets426314
Failed to score123437

Penalties

MetricRB BragantinoGremio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricRB BragantinoGremio
Wins52
Draws12
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-34-10-24-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricRB BragantinoGremio
Form27%73%
Att43%57%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h75%25%
Goals63%38%
Total49.0%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : RB Bragantino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Betano
Away4.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): RB Bragantino = 1.72 (league 1.31), Gremio = 2.16 (league 0.83)

Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Bragantino 0 2.1% 4.5% 4.8% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8%
1 3.6% 7.7% 8.3% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 7.1% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2%
3 1.7% 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.7% 1.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 46.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1