Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 00:30 • Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.32) 1.27 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 28.0% 41.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Corinthians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 9.7% 12.4% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 6.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantosCorinthians
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack25%30%
Defense65%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Corinthians
HATHAT
Played121426131427
Wins33%21%27%38%21%30%
Draws33%21%27%31%36%33%
Loses33%57%46%31%43%37%

Form: Santos: LDLWLLLDLWLWWLLDWWLLDDWDDL • Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLLWDWLLDW

League goals

Metric Santos Corinthians
HATHAT
GF total121325181129
GF avg1.00.91.01.40.81.1
GA total152338131932
GA avg1.31.61.51.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantosCorinthians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%77%70%70%
1.527%46%19%41%
2.58%12%15%4%
3.50%4%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantosCorinthians
HATHAT
Clean sheets516538
Failed to score4610358

Penalties

MetricSantosCorinthians
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSantosCorinthians
Wins21
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-02-3
Biggest losses0-63-00-24-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against6324

Model comparison

MetricSantosCorinthians
Form46%54%
Att45%55%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Corinthians

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.29 @ 188Bet
Draw3.20 @ Betano
Away4.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos = 1.06 (league 1.32), Corinthians = 1.27 (league 0.82)

Corinthians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 9.7% 12.4% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.3% 13.1% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.5% 6.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 41.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1