Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 00:30 • Estádio Manoel Barradas
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.32) 1.22 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.8% 26.4% 33.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
10.3%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria 0 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVitoriaBahia
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack42%42%
Defense17%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vitoria Bahia
HATHAT
Played131427131326
Wins38%0%19%69%23%46%
Draws38%36%37%23%31%27%
Loses23%64%44%8%46%27%

Form: Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWL • Bahia: DDDLWWWLWLWWWDWDDWWLLDLWLW

League goals

Metric Vitoria Bahia
HATHAT
GF total15924211334
GF avg1.20.60.91.61.01.3
GA total132942102030
GA avg1.02.11.60.81.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVitoriaBahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%78%85%65%
1.526%44%35%27%
2.54%11%12%15%
3.50%7%0%4%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVitoriaBahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets426639
Failed to score3811044

Penalties

MetricVitoriaBahia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricVitoriaBahia
Wins13
Draws33
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-00-3
Biggest losses1-28-01-25-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against2835

Model comparison

MetricVitoriaBahia
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total34.8%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bahia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ 188Bet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vitoria = 1.36 (league 1.32), Bahia = 1.22 (league 0.82)

Bahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vitoria 0 7.6% 9.2% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.3% 12.6% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
3 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 33.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1