Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.32) 0.55 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.0% 21.4% 10.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 9.3% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengoPalmeiras
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack67%100%
Defense67%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo Palmeiras
HATHAT
Played141327151227
Wins64%62%63%73%67%70%
Draws36%15%26%13%17%15%
Loses0%23%11%13%17%15%

Form: Flamengo: DWWWDWLWDWWWLWWWDWWWDWDWDLW • Palmeiras: DWWWWLWWWLLDWWWDWWWDWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Flamengo Palmeiras
HATHAT
GF total332053331851
GF avg2.41.52.02.21.51.9
GA total4913111223
GA avg0.30.70.50.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengoPalmeiras
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%44%85%67%
1.552%4%56%19%
2.522%0%30%0%
3.515%0%15%0%
4.511%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengoPalmeiras
HATHAT
Clean sheets10515639
Failed to score235314

Penalties

MetricFlamengoPalmeiras
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricFlamengoPalmeiras
Wins34
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-00-35-12-3
Biggest losses2-10-22-1
Goals For8353
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricFlamengoPalmeiras
Form40%60%
Att29%71%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h62%38%
Goals71%29%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Flamengo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flamengo = 1.82 (league 1.32), Palmeiras = 0.55 (league 0.81)

Palmeiras
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 9.3% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 10.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1