Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 21:30 • Neo Química Arena
First Half
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.32) 0.73 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.7% 26.4% 18.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 10.9% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 11.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorinthiansAtletico-MG
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack60%50%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Corinthians Atletico-MG
HATHAT
Played131528131427
Wins38%20%29%46%14%30%
Draws31%33%32%46%21%33%
Loses31%47%39%8%64%37%

Form: Corinthians: DWLLWLWLWDDDLWLDDDLLWDWLLDWL • Atletico-MG: LDDLWDWWDDWWLLLWDLLLDLWDLWD

League goals

Metric Corinthians Atletico-MG
HATHAT
GF total18123017926
GF avg1.40.81.11.30.61.0
GA total132235112031
GA avg1.01.51.30.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorinthiansAtletico-MG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%63%67%
1.518%43%26%37%
2.514%7%7%11%
3.54%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorinthiansAtletico-MG
HATHAT
Clean sheets538639
Failed to score3583710

Penalties

MetricCorinthiansAtletico-MG
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCorinthiansAtletico-MG
Wins12
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-24-01-33-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricCorinthiansAtletico-MG
Form33%67%
Att55%45%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Corinthians or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Corinthians = 1.48 (league 1.32), Atletico-MG = 0.73 (league 0.82)

Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Corinthians 0 10.9% 8.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 11.9% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 8.8% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 18.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1