Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.32) 0.88 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.1% 21.8% 16.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.8%
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 6.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.8% 10.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.2% 9.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantosVitoria
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack88%88%
Defense13%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Vitoria
HATHAT
Played131427141428
Wins38%21%30%43%0%21%
Draws31%21%26%36%36%36%
Loses31%57%44%21%64%43%

Form: Santos: LDLWLLLDLWLWWLLDWWLLDDWDDLW • Vitoria: LLDWDDLWLLDDLDWDDDLDLWLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Santos Vitoria
HATHAT
GF total15132817926
GF avg1.20.91.01.20.60.9
GA total162339142943
GA avg1.21.61.41.02.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantosVitoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%78%61%79%
1.530%44%29%43%
2.511%11%4%11%
3.50%4%0%7%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantosVitoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets516426
Failed to score46103811

Penalties

MetricSantosVitoria
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSantosVitoria
Wins21
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-32-1
Biggest losses0-63-01-28-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against6328

Model comparison

MetricSantosVitoria
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Santos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ 1xBet
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Unibet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos = 1.91 (league 1.32), Vitoria = 0.88 (league 0.82)

Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 6.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.8% 10.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.2% 9.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.1% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.1% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 16.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1