Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 00:00 • Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.73 (league 1.32) 0.78 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.3% 13.7% 8.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 3.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruzeiroFortaleza EC
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack44%44%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruzeiro Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
Played141428151227
Wins71%36%54%33%8%22%
Draws14%43%29%13%33%22%
Loses14%21%18%53%58%56%

Form: Cruzeiro: WLDWLWWWDWWDWWWDLWLDWWWWLDDD • Fortaleza EC: WDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLLLLWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Cruzeiro Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
GF total26154117926
GF avg1.91.11.51.10.81.0
GA total111021202343
GA avg0.80.70.81.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruzeiroFortaleza EC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%57%59%74%
1.546%14%22%48%
2.514%4%7%19%
3.511%0%4%11%
4.50%0%4%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruzeiroFortaleza EC
HATHAT
Clean sheets5712527
Failed to score1677411

Penalties

MetricCruzeiroFortaleza EC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCruzeiroFortaleza EC
Wins41
Draws12
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-45-01-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-55-0
Goals For4452
Goals Against2355

Model comparison

MetricCruzeiroFortaleza EC
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away6.60 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruzeiro = 2.73 (league 1.32), Fortaleza EC = 0.78 (league 0.82)

Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 3.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.9% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 8.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2