Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.32) 0.81 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.7% 23.8% 17.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sport Recife
0 1 2 3 4 5
Internacional 0 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.8% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInternacionalSport Recife
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack78%56%
Defense11%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Internacional Sport Recife
HATHAT
Played141327131427
Wins43%15%30%8%7%7%
Draws21%38%30%54%29%41%
Loses36%46%41%38%64%52%

Form: Internacional: DWDLDWLLDDLLWWWDLWLLWLLDDWL • Sport Recife: DLLLLDLLLDLLLDDDWDLLDWLDDLD

League goals

Metric Internacional Sport Recife
HATHAT
GF total19143312921
GF avg1.41.11.20.90.60.8
GA total162541192342
GA avg1.11.91.51.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInternacionalSport Recife
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%59%81%
1.530%37%19%52%
2.511%22%0%19%
3.50%11%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInternacionalSport Recife
HATHAT
Clean sheets415325
Failed to score2355611

Penalties

MetricInternacionalSport Recife
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total82

Streaks

MetricInternacionalSport Recife
Wins31
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-31-00-1
Biggest losses1-34-00-43-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricInternacionalSport Recife
Form63%38%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total59.3%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Internacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away5.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Internacional = 1.70 (league 1.32), Sport Recife = 0.81 (league 0.81)

Sport Recife
0 1 2 3 4 5
Internacional 0 8.1% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.8% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 17.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1