Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Nilton Santos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.31) 1.22 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 21.0% 21.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Santos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 3.7% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogoSantos
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack57%86%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo Santos
HATHAT
Played141529141428
Wins50%40%45%36%21%29%
Draws29%20%24%29%21%25%
Loses21%40%31%36%57%46%

Form: Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDLWLLW • Santos: LDLWLLLDLWLWWLLDWWLLDDWDDLWL

League goals

Metric Botafogo Santos
HATHAT
GF total241539151328
GF avg1.71.01.31.10.91.0
GA total161026172340
GA avg1.10.70.91.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogoSantos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%61%79%
1.541%24%29%43%
2.521%7%11%11%
3.510%0%0%4%
4.53%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogoSantos
HATHAT
Clean sheets5712516
Failed to score48125611

Penalties

MetricBotafogoSantos
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBotafogoSantos
Wins32
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-53-12-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-63-0
Goals For4533
Goals Against3263

Model comparison

MetricBotafogoSantos
Form55%45%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Botafogo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away5.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo = 2.08 (league 1.31), Santos = 1.22 (league 0.81)

Santos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 3.7% 4.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 21.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1