Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 • Arena MRV
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.31) 0.89 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 30.8% 29.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 13.7% 12.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico-MGCeara
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack44%56%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico-MG Ceara
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins46%13%29%43%21%32%
Draws46%20%32%21%36%29%
Loses8%67%39%36%43%39%

Form: Atletico-MG: LDDLWDWWDDWWLLLWDLLLDLWDLWDL • Ceara: DWLWLDWDWLLWLLLWDLWDLDDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Atletico-MG Ceara
HATHAT
GF total17926141327
GF avg1.30.60.91.00.91.0
GA total112132111627
GA avg0.81.41.10.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico-MGCeara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%68%64%68%
1.525%36%29%25%
2.57%11%4%4%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico-MGCeara
HATHAT
Clean sheets639549
Failed to score38115510

Penalties

MetricAtletico-MGCeara
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAtletico-MGCeara
Wins21
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-01-2
Biggest losses1-33-00-23-2
Goals For3232
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricAtletico-MGCeara
Form42%58%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total51.0%49.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico-MG or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Superbet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico-MG = 1.09 (league 1.31), Ceara = 0.89 (league 0.80)

Ceara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico-MG 0 13.7% 12.3% 5.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1