Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 19:00 • Arena do Grêmio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.31) 0.38 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.9% 15.5% 5.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gremio 0 7.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.7% 6.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGremioJuventude
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack75%38%
Defense13%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gremio Juventude
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins43%20%31%40%7%24%
Draws36%27%31%20%14%17%
Loses21%53%38%40%79%59%

Form: Gremio: WLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDLWDWDLWL • Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDDLLLW

League goals

Metric Gremio Juventude
HATHAT
GF total15153017623
GF avg1.11.01.01.10.40.8
GA total112637173653
GA avg0.81.71.31.12.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGremioJuventude
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%83%55%79%
1.524%24%24%52%
2.510%10%0%28%
3.50%10%0%14%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGremioJuventude
HATHAT
Clean sheets415426
Failed to score4594913

Penalties

MetricGremioJuventude
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricGremioJuventude
Wins21
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-1
Biggest losses0-24-01-36-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2436

Model comparison

MetricGremioJuventude
Form64%36%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Gremio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ Dafabet
Away5.60 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Unibet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gremio = 2.19 (league 1.31), Juventude = 0.38 (league 0.83)

Juventude
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gremio 0 7.6% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.7% 6.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.3% 7.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 5.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 5.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1